1st or second day gave me a gift exit at 3.50...didn't take it. Well, was going to try but when I had noticed it I was too late. Exited 1/2 position at 3.20 after an agonizing consolidation and holding over weekend. Probably hit 3.50 again though. Was able to move stop loss down. We shall see what happens to trade!
BTO 2x DIA Jun18 236 puts for $2.60 (overpaid by 0.14)
BTO 2x DIA Jun18 236 puts for $2.60 (overpaid by 0.14)
Currently have moved stop loss (triggering market sell on quote) to 247.28, which is a much better risk:reward than my previous stop loss. The trade went in my favor just an hour or so after entry, and conclusively in my favor a day after entry. Targets are in the published tradingview technical analysis linked below.
EQUITIES: predicted direction SHORT/long
Also,
equities are providing a gift to investors at the moment with an
excellent potential short opportunity They are running up against stiff
resistance to their upward advance. Coupled with the fact that many
indicators are potentially bearish, this could be an excellent short
opportunity. Conversely, breaking of the current level will indicate an
excellent long opportunity. It simply does not seem like equities have
the "juice", however.
Once
again I would like to do further research to see what the technical and
other analysts are saying. In addition, what are the fundamentals?
Tradingview.com has the technical page. There's the fear and greed
index. Then there are the specific analysts I follow on tradingview. I will also spice this up with input from
The
very best way (I know of) to gain exposure to equities' projected
collapse would be to purchase put options. Why? Because 1) they are
leveraged but protect against gap risk 2) if a collapse intensifies,
volatility will increase and the option price will increase much faster
as a result. 3) Furthermore, I should be able to buy several and unload
them systematically if price moves down. 4) I would be able to purchase
out of the money options with several months to live, thus is price and
volatility continue to move against the position, I will be able to sell
at not too much of a loss.
Basis: the Dow Jones (1!) futures, in particular, have been very reliable technically of all the major indicies.
It is currently in the process of forming a large bearish wedge, which
will likely break to the downside. If this occurs the formation will
give a price target. The previously-formed symmetric triangle also gives
a measuring target. These targets will enable me to select an
out-of-the-money options strike price (targted at the bulkowski
targets) and, in addition, the price action will form a major trend
line allowing me to select a worst-case options time period, although I
suspect the targets will be reached sooner, which will make the options
all the more valuable of course.
Chart
analysis: Pattern analysis indicates at most a decently sized
correction, which from the highs could put us into a bear market. The
current wedge pattern's target is not even below the current low. The
wedge pattern's measuring target forms a cradle with the current lows
trendline, and also with the top of a major area of support.
Technical (and further fundamental) analysis for this trade is here: https://www.tradingview.com/chart/YM1!/KrGXr7Kw-US-Equities-Imminent-Minor-Decline-Before-Recovery/
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